0x771d6246Eb5d74235851F69dC8048E025207e0eb-1767184128698
0x771d6246eb5d74235851f69dc8048e025207e0eb
- Realised P&L
- $-607.61
- Volume
- $89.9k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $366.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No | 0.500 | 0.500 | $200.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.062 | $124.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.095 | $30.88 | −$73.13 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.075 | $11.33 | −$64.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$370.54at 0.521St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5
- +$349.70at 0.530Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5
- +$349.70at 0.530Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5
- +$340.58at 0.535Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)
- +$220.94at 0.828Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 14:04 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5 | BUY | 0.5099999993 | $291.18 |
| 03-29 14:31 | Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $198.25 |
| 03-29 14:30 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5 | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $198.25 |
| 03-26 20:21 | Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5 | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $198.29 |
| 03-22 19:38 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5 | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $198.25 |
| 03-22 15:35 | Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5 | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $198.25 |
| 03-21 22:55 | Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $93.18 |
| 03-21 20:28 | TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $101.11 |
| 02-26 12:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $125.00 |
| 02-22 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.23935 | $2.35 |
| 02-01 18:46 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.69 | $207.00 |
| 01-31 13:04 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.978 | $0.15 |
| 01-30 00:49 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.826729713 | $200.19 |
| 12-31 14:59 | Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $105.84 |
| 12-27 12:08 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $0.47 |