PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x77167C0148A03de50CFf217fb3ab715AffbAE12b-1773242895904

0x77167c0148a03de50cff217fb3ab715affbae12b

Realised P&L
$-25.81
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$62.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs? · Yes0.2901.000$50.00+$35.50
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion · Yes0.2901.000$5.00+$3.55
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.2100.916$4.58+$3.53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026? · Yes0.4401.000$2.85+$1.59
USDC depeg by December 31? · Yes0.0310.015$0.34$0.39
John Konchar: Assists O/U 2.5 · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.64
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winner · WLGaming Esports0.0010.000$0.00$0.37
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5? · No0.1770.000$0.00$2.65
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$2.10
Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs. Andrea Collarini: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Under 2.50.0100.000$0.00$7.32
Nymburk vs. Pallacanestro Trieste · Pallacanestro Trieste0.0100.000$0.00$0.79
Olivieri vs. Collarini: Match O/U 22.5 · Under0.0100.000$0.00$3.66
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.73
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · No0.0510.000$0.00$0.51
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Chicago Bears in 2026-27? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-12 16:37Will Kenneth Walker III play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27?SELL0.0029874105$0.36
03-12 16:37Will the match end in a draw?SELL0.011$0.03
03-12 14:50Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?SELL0.162$0.81
03-12 13:49Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?SELL0.51$1.10
03-12 13:49Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of March?SELL0.34$1.70
03-12 13:19Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.034$0.13
03-12 13:19Will Donovan Clingan lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?SELL0.0022259751$0.11
03-12 13:19Will Pamela Denise Long be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?SELL0.003$0.08
03-12 13:18Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?SELL0.18$0.90
03-12 13:18Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?SELL0.0193943104$0.54
03-12 13:18Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL0.001$0.00
03-12 13:18Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL0.003$0.03
03-12 13:18Will David Pastrnak win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?SELL0.0037964072$0.02
03-12 13:14USDC depeg by December 31?SELL0.032$0.17
03-12 13:12Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Maximilian NeuchristBUY0.001$0.37