PolyBot

Market data Β· no accounts, no trading

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Traders

πŸ‘‘_King_George_πŸ‘‘

0x770e06c9e8d0c14065f7c0b8ac0e0ecd50287640

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$3.72M
Markets traded
435
Open portfolio
$390.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult β€” Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns β€” that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it β€” the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded435
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing β€” selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Β· No0.8570.959$226.61+$24.10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Β· Yes0.4500.495$32.93+$2.99
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Β· Yes0.2800.125$25.00βˆ’$31.00
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Β· Yes0.1100.055$21.99βˆ’$21.99
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? Β· Yes0.2200.976$19.51+$15.11
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026? Β· Yes0.1800.285$17.10+$6.30
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Β· Yes0.0740.046$14.72βˆ’$8.92
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? Β· Yes0.0930.048$14.25βˆ’$13.75
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Β· Yes0.1200.275$5.50+$3.10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Β· Yes0.0440.054$5.45+$1.05
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? Β· Yes0.1800.070$2.82βˆ’$4.38
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? Β· Yes0.0530.015$2.10βˆ’$5.30
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Β· Yes0.0300.050$1.81+$0.71
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Β· Yes0.0910.075$0.14βˆ’$0.03
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Β· Yes0.2370.088$0.09βˆ’$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above β€” measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:11Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.0501866019$50.19
09-21 09:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.07$140.00
09-20 21:13Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.22$4.40
09-20 21:11Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?BUY0.054$1.62
09-20 21:05Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$7.20
09-20 21:00Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.07$70.00
09-20 20:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.11$55.00
09-20 20:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.11$55.00
09-20 20:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.07$28.00
09-14 21:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?SELL0.0121157884$27.75
09-14 09:08Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?SELL0.923$46.15
09-14 00:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?BUY0.02$29.09
09-14 00:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?BUY0.019$15.88
09-09 22:21Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.78$1.6k
09-09 22:21Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.78$1.3k