π_King_George_π
0x770e06c9e8d0c14065f7c0b8ac0e0ecd50287640
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $3.72M
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $390.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult β Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a walletβs past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns β that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it β the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing β selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above β measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.389Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$2.4kat 0.093Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$2.2kat 0.494Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$1.5kat 0.411Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.517Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:11 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | SELL | 0.0501866019 | $50.19 |
| 09-21 09:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.07 | $140.00 |
| 09-20 21:13 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-20 21:11 | Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.62 |
| 09-20 21:05 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-20 21:00 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-20 20:57 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 09-20 20:57 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 09-20 20:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $28.00 |
| 09-14 21:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | SELL | 0.0121157884 | $27.75 |
| 09-14 09:08 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.923 | $46.15 |
| 09-14 00:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.02 | $29.09 |
| 09-14 00:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.019 | $15.88 |
| 09-09 22:21 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.6k |
| 09-09 22:21 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.3k |