PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x770d8126Ac0a62240D87a859B1051615A3F229C7-1775595236775

0x770d8126ac0a62240d87a859b1051615a3f229c7

Realised P&L
$-101.94
Volume
$53.5k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$414.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3730.485$261.90+$60.40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.305$85.59$15.41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.028$37.67$62.33
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes0.1370.011$29.09$349.51
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$20.00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.2400.000$0.00$1.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00$50.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$200.00
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$150.00
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$44.12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 16:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3599999987$100.00
08-01 09:51Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
07-23 08:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.26$45.58
07-23 08:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.35$66.55
07-23 04:37Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.129$18.06
07-23 04:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.25$50.00
07-22 18:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.32$48.00
07-22 16:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUY0.029$1.16
07-22 16:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.27$51.30
07-22 05:45Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.1331937115$69.26
07-22 05:44Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.123$22.14
07-21 21:27Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.12$18.09
07-21 16:16Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.154$18.48
07-21 12:19Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.143$17.11
07-21 12:18Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.142$32.70