0x770945bDA14721B3039f1548C345CB6815B73470-1768919244921
0x770945bda14721b3039f1548c345cb6815b73470
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $47.8k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $38.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC to score first vs. AEK? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $22.34 | +$3.34 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.570 | 1.000 | $8.77 | +$3.77 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.650 | 1.000 | $7.69 | +$2.69 |
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs · Paper Rex | 0.907 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$562.77 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.52 |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner · FUT Esports | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.928 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$475.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.46at 0.437IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score
- +$69.57at 0.910Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$59.81at 0.895Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$55.09at 0.864Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann
- +$55.07at 0.844Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 16:55 | Manchester City FC to score first vs. AEK? | BUY | 0.85 | $19.00 |
| 10-20 16:44 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 16:38 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 10:45 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:42 | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $48.20 |
| 10-18 07:26 | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.6299999956 | $30.40 |
| 10-17 15:11 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.8899999969 | $26.00 |
| 10-17 11:29 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4199999914 | $11.73 |
| 10-17 11:18 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $12.11 |
| 10-17 06:37 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 05:03 | Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $7.58 |
| 10-15 04:36 | Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 | BUY | 0.7899999908 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 16:39 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 18:36 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 18:35 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $3.48 |