0x770801548B6E28e3E348aD8f1a164730b8a4FAf1-1772715184990
0x770801548b6e28e3e348ad8f1a164730b8a4faf1
- Realised P&L
- $562.91
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.230 | $951.40 | +$544.68 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.541 | $49.94 | +$19.94 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.105 | $6.56 | −$3.44 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 12:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0725335347 | $53.55 |
| 08-29 17:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1118951686 | $98.20 |
| 08-28 11:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1086045145 | $107.45 |
| 08-27 13:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0959739251 | $42.61 |
| 08-27 13:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0955439099 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 13:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0950602467 | $45.73 |
| 03-17 13:55 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 17:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3252764451 | $30.00 |
| 03-05 14:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.19 |