PolyBot

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Traders

0x76fdda47db5c08b6d71382a06266b14dad798539

Realised P&L
$-706.63
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$18.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.070$18.92$81.08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$150.00
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · No0.7140.000$0.00$500.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 23:27Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.3208156236$130.92
03-01 00:54Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.9691681297$230.75
02-28 08:59US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$353.40
02-22 12:48US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7067132159$250.00
01-25 17:26Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?SELL0.85$180.85
01-20 12:39Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?BUY0.4699999985$100.00
01-18 23:27Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?BUY0.4043395157$150.00
01-18 01:13Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?BUY0.369999998$100.00
01-14 08:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
01-14 08:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099999984$100.00
01-14 02:01Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$960.17
01-14 00:55Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999999$379.00
01-14 00:51Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999997$450.00
01-14 00:39Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999992$150.00
01-14 00:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3675496674$150.00
Trader 0x76fd…8539 · PolyBot Pro