hlwp229
0x76f4765ebc9bdeaeb4af4d27504bff1d4ce782da
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $75.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $433.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.425 | $272.11 | +$21.71 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.675 | $151.87 | +$64.25 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.076 | $4.86 | +$2.40 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.005 | $2.98 | +$2.39 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $0.82 | +$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C or below on August 7? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.50at 0.326Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?
- +$117.29at 0.352Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?
- +$108.62at 0.335Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?
- +$102.61at 0.367Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 25?
- +$98.56at 0.365Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:05 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 08-07 02:05 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 08-07 02:04 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0066227229 | $0.61 |
| 08-07 02:03 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0384375 | $2.46 |
| 08-07 01:58 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-07 01:15 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.4737654321 | $76.75 |
| 08-07 01:02 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4180769231 | $10.87 |
| 08-07 01:02 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4039784445 | $190.79 |
| 08-07 00:56 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.572 | $14.30 |
| 08-06 17:27 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.42 | $18.90 |
| 08-06 16:58 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3828436019 | $80.78 |
| 08-06 16:57 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.4327492165 | $78.70 |
| 08-06 15:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.35 | $0.35 |
| 08-06 15:48 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.33 | $28.71 |
| 08-06 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |