hlwp229
0x76f4765ebc9bdeaeb4af4d27504bff1d4ce782da
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $230.3k
- Markets traded
- 362
- Open portfolio
- $39.55
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded362
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.74at 0.388Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 8?
- +$217.81at 0.401Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?
- +$144.29at 0.390Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 26?
- +$141.67at 0.337Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?
- +$117.45at 0.460Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.64 |
| 09-25 10:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4197560976 | $17.21 |
| 09-25 09:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 09-25 09:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 09:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.01 |
| 09-25 09:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3170063694 | $49.77 |
| 09-25 09:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.97 |
| 09-25 09:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.3933085862 | $48.74 |
| 09-25 08:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-25 08:32 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-25 08:32 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.6072493573 | $47.24 |
| 09-25 08:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.81 |
| 09-25 08:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.97 |
| 09-25 07:53 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 09-25 07:52 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.80 |