0x76E65701bbd23915d615eDf45E9FFc142fD10c6C-1780611697006
0x76e65701bbd23915d615edf45e9ffc142fd10c6c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.45
- Volume
- $611.04
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $7.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.81at 0.550Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.09at 0.331Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$1.99at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.96at 0.308Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.84at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 23:15 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.67 |
| 10-26 18:33 | Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 18:32 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 18:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.75 |
| 10-02 14:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 14:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.625 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 21:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 20:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 19:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.35 | $0.85 |
| 08-26 14:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.6479999361 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 14:07 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 23:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.21 |