0x76e298605b020f8444312065d5186e58ab335980
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $7.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.35at 0.199Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$13.03at 0.280Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.30at 0.588Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$7.64at 0.055Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$7.14at 0.500Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 22:24 | Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 04-23 22:22 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 04-23 22:21 | Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.5148148148 | $69.50 |
| 04-23 22:15 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 04-23 22:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 04-23 22:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 04-23 22:12 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | SELL | 0.667024 | $8.34 |
| 04-23 22:12 | Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.341 | $6.79 |
| 04-23 22:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 04-23 22:11 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.41 | $20.97 |
| 04-23 22:10 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.119 | $14.28 |
| 04-23 22:10 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.3426438456 | $9.41 |
| 04-23 22:10 | Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.3333333333 | $7.22 |
| 04-23 22:09 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.42 | $25.20 |
| 04-23 22:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |