0x76dbBd39d3d12b9Cc940C52FC2b2Eb0FC81511dC-1767716027146
0x76dbbd39d3d12b9cc940c52fc2b2eb0fc81511dc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $97.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $442.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.049 | $442.81 | +$102.01 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$799.98 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$141.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bills vs. Broncos · Bills | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$935.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.31at 0.023Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-42.46at 0.230Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 10:15 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0377120691 | $340.80 |
| 05-09 05:20 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.20 |
| 05-09 05:19 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.011 | $3.96 |
| 05-07 18:14 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.022 | $7.92 |
| 05-07 18:13 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.012 | $368.76 |
| 04-15 04:47 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0185484645 | $570.00 |
| 02-08 07:39 | Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.2671874991 | $152.00 |
| 02-08 07:31 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $152.29 |
| 01-25 17:23 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999991 | $141.00 |
| 01-25 17:22 | Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0829999995 | $150.00 |
| 01-15 04:50 | Bills vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.4799999977 | $76.00 |
| 01-14 07:32 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2710357958 | $800.00 |
| 01-13 18:54 | US forces enter Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1018437888 | $200.00 |
| 01-13 18:52 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999983 | $80.00 |
| 01-13 11:30 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $838.74 |