PolyBot

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Traders

Key-Sportsman

0x76d2a155ccce4ec13529b157c0690e91e2b6153a

Realised P&L
$6.0k
Volume
$1.38M
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$44.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0400.001$44.60−$3.5k
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$99.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$21.23
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$98.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$96.00
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$34.23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$198.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$73.93
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$96.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$105.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$101.20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$35.89
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$98.00
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$52.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 18:19Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.052$0.93
05-04 18:19Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.05$80.98
05-04 18:19Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.045$8.91
05-04 18:19Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.044$8.71
05-04 18:19Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.043$3.79
05-04 18:18Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.042$5.10
05-04 18:18Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.041$7.42
05-04 18:18Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.04$3.31
05-04 18:18Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.039$1.75
05-04 18:18Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0355263237$2.37
05-04 18:17Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.034$3.40
05-04 18:17Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.033$3.93
04-26 18:10Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.09$164.19
04-26 18:09Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.08$12.80
12-31 23:41Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.39$156.00