Nonurbusines
0x76c83ddb8f4368b6d80f81c1206a3948a881e383
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $1.81M
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $13.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.098Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.028Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.8kat 0.053Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$1.7kat 0.123Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$915.79at 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0179999975 | $6.98 |
| 08-02 02:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0109999985 | $7.41 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.49 |
| 07-31 18:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0269999977 | $11.08 |
| 07-31 15:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0106369619 | $5.86 |
| 07-31 14:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.0149999925 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 12:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.81 |
| 07-31 12:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0113207548 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.0379999912 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0102822958 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 23:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0129999993 | $19.29 |
| 07-30 19:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.048 | $5.34 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.17 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0539999831 | $2.90 |
| 07-30 11:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.59 |