Nonurbusines
0x76c83ddb8f4368b6d80f81c1206a3948a881e383
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $2.73M
- Markets traded
- 603
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded603
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.2kat 0.022Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$3.8kat 0.046Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$3.7kat 0.098Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
- +$2.9kat 0.030Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.0kat 0.028Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0049794075 | $17.67 |
| 09-17 07:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0111123115 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 07:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $33.44 |
| 09-17 04:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0197467333 | $40.23 |
| 09-17 04:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $45.36 |
| 09-15 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0238056365 | $61.24 |
| 09-15 06:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.025716882 | $23.25 |
| 09-14 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.009 | $15.84 |
| 09-14 15:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0905 | $18.10 |
| 09-14 06:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.0107267081 | $15.70 |
| 09-14 06:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 06:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.011 | $12.34 |
| 09-14 06:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $11.96 |
| 09-13 13:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0104720462 | $33.86 |
| 09-13 13:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0178693491 | $100.00 |