PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kristomannik4783

0x76c637ff88add131193759b43a4aa6a62283696f

Realised P&L
$903.68
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$65.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.9690.954$51.52−$0.81
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes0.9840.979$14.07−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:22Rangers vs. MarinersBUY0.61$780.19
07-25 06:44Cubs vs. White SoxBUY0.63$800.10
07-18 11:17Red Sox vs. CubsBUY0.56$879.76
07-09 11:00Rockies vs. Red SoxBUY0.73$1.6k
05-29 11:06Nationals vs. MarinersBUY0.51$835.89
05-20 11:35Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan RoyalsBUY0.52$529.88
05-13 08:45Jets vs. StarsBUY0.57$499.89