kristomannik4783
0x76c637ff88add131193759b43a4aa6a62283696f
- Realised P&L
- $903.68
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $65.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No | 0.969 | 0.954 | $51.52 | −$0.81 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.979 | $14.07 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$744.00at 0.380Dodgers vs. Angels
- +$691.24at 0.560Red Sox vs. Cubs
- +$672.00at 0.440Twins vs. Tigers
- +$579.15at 0.730Rockies vs. Red Sox
- +$498.81at 0.610Rangers vs. Mariners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:22 | Rangers vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.61 | $780.19 |
| 07-25 06:44 | Cubs vs. White Sox | BUY | 0.63 | $800.10 |
| 07-18 11:17 | Red Sox vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.56 | $879.76 |
| 07-09 11:00 | Rockies vs. Red Sox | BUY | 0.73 | $1.6k |
| 05-29 11:06 | Nationals vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.51 | $835.89 |
| 05-20 11:35 | Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.52 | $529.88 |
| 05-13 08:45 | Jets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.57 | $499.89 |