0x76C3B0DeCe0289fe0D3225D7782dd37407135E25-1774344326364
0x76c3b0dece0289fe0d3225d7782dd37407135e25
- Realised P&L
- $513.01
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $400.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.019 | $185.71 | −$14.28 |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.030 | $98.39 | −$1.61 |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.047 | $94.40 | −$5.60 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.015 | $21.61 | +$11.61 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.54 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? · No | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$445.84at 0.150Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$121.19at 0.360Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$29.00at 0.463Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$26.83at 0.574Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
- +$20.94at 0.618Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:42 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0497881973 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 08:31 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.031 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 12:44 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0209999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-29 11:39 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.0069418325 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 09:03 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.7925810859 | $224.52 |
| 05-31 11:11 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3529999989 | $100.00 |
| 04-17 21:31 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 04-14 12:52 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.462999993 | $25.00 |
| 04-13 18:01 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.68 | $102.00 |
| 04-11 08:22 | Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.0764982287 | $20.00 |
| 04-11 08:22 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.76 | $20.52 |
| 04-10 12:04 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.0179999988 | $14.00 |
| 04-10 12:03 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.55 | $13.75 |
| 04-10 11:51 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.016 | $6.00 |
| 04-10 11:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $19.38 |