peartopear
0x76b00fcea6e435ec620b926621afc686bc04cb04
- Realised P&L
- $18.00
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $228.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.980 | 0.978 | $51.81 | −$0.13 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $51.03 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat? · No | 0.979 | 0.956 | $48.76 | −$1.17 |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.965 | $48.10 | +$0.30 |
| Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $28.34 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.49at 0.721Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
- +$3.74at 0.932Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.00at 0.940Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$2.30at 0.954Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
- +$1.27at 0.976Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9369999985 | $20.94 |