PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x769cc9fc6de982d9efd3adfc596e2a436ba61b52

0x769cc9fc6de982d9efd3adfc596e2a436ba61b52

Realised P&L
$-1.56
Volume
$266.47
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$4.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.800$1.43+$0.43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.855$1.16+$0.16
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes0.7500.865$1.15+$0.15
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.6300.630$1.00+$0.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes0.4700.004$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 21:21Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-12 13:21Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.75$1.00
10-09 11:50Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 03:49S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:48Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-07 23:45Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-07 03:43Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 19:43Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-06 11:42Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-06 03:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-05 18:34Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
10-04 10:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-04 02:06Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-03 17:56Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-02 03:15Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00