0pt1
0x769629cd29d3dec72ba9d529b3cd6978e152ecb7
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $194.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.021 | $194.07 | −$319.72 |
| Will SpaceX list on the NYSE? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.64 |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.93 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.370Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$8.24at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 16?
- +$7.04at 0.645Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?
- +$3.84at 0.360Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?
- +$0.71at 0.934Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 23:02 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.37 | $10.33 |
| 06-03 23:02 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.37 | $2.5k |
| 05-25 21:43 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.0487672142 | $48.18 |
| 05-25 17:45 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.0525663453 | $80.85 |
| 05-25 17:31 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.021 | $63.00 |
| 05-25 17:07 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.021 | $20.89 |
| 04-27 23:39 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.0778435409 | $60.50 |
| 04-27 23:38 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.063 | $12.60 |
| 04-27 23:38 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.062 | $1.86 |
| 04-27 23:36 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.52 |
| 04-27 23:35 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.77 |
| 04-27 23:34 | US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.91 |
| 04-27 23:34 | Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.87 |
| 04-27 23:34 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.62 |
| 04-27 23:33 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in April? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.55 |