PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

folttarby

0x7687833c4e1855f3eedafd4fc53384370b2627a6

Realised P&L
$-860.06
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
246
Open portfolio
$50.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded246
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · No0.5701.000$20.00+$8.60
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · No0.8001.000$13.80+$2.76
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4500.620$12.40+$3.40
Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.3500.150$3.00−$4.00
Will Trevor Lawrence have 25.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4500.220$1.10−$1.15
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec? · No0.4600.115$0.22−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 23? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$2.74
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$4.20
Over $8M pledged to the HEEBOO public sale? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
VALORANT Champions 2026: Any map to go 13-0? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$4.20
Will skuba have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$4.40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$0.95
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$21.50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$11.20
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $670 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 15:52Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?SELL0.56$28.00
10-06 14:49Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?SELL0.34$17.00
10-05 18:01Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?SELL0.47$4.70
10-05 17:58Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?SELL0.47$18.80
09-20 04:28Will South Carolina have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.17$1.19
09-20 03:28Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 9?SELL0.44$8.80
09-20 01:40Weed rescheduled by December 31?SELL0.701$14.02
09-20 01:40Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?SELL0.36079$7.22
09-20 01:40Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.57$11.40
09-19 21:12Will Arizona have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.52$9.86
09-19 12:05Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.61$12.20
09-18 07:22Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?SELL0.14$2.10
09-18 03:59Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election?SELL0.05$1.00
09-15 21:28Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.27$5.40
09-15 13:50Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.63$12.60