folttarby
0x7687833c4e1855f3eedafd4fc53384370b2627a6
- Realised P&L
- $-860.06
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $50.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.50at 0.500Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
- +$20.34at 0.661Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
- +$19.00at 0.120Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
- +$18.00at 0.140Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.21at 0.190Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 10-06 14:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 10-05 18:01 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-05 17:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Will South Carolina have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 09-20 03:28 | Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 9? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-20 01:40 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | SELL | 0.701 | $14.02 |
| 09-20 01:40 | Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.36079 | $7.22 |
| 09-20 01:40 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-19 21:12 | Will Arizona have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.52 | $9.86 |
| 09-19 12:05 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-18 07:22 | Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 09-18 03:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-15 13:50 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |