DRalchemy
0x768738009057246646423bc509b0b1e1381bd750
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $129.9k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $181.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$706.99at 0.482US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$694.46at 0.687Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$508.42at 0.481Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$353.47at 0.620US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$350.22at 0.653Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999981 | $31.00 |
| 11-01 18:49 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 19:29 | Will UNLV Rebels Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 19:29 | Will Air Force Falcons Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship? | BUY | 0.1312163758 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 19:27 | Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship? | BUY | 0.289 | $10.69 |
| 10-18 19:25 | Will Jacksonville State Gamecocks Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 10-18 19:24 | Will Iowa Hawkeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship? | BUY | 0.0462645646 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 19:22 | Will SMU Mustangs Win the 2026 ACC Championship? | BUY | 0.053 | $6.09 |
| 10-18 19:13 | Will Tennessee Volunteers Win the 2026 SEC Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.32 |
| 10-18 03:23 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 03:22 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 03:21 | Will Tennessee Volunteers Win the 2026 SEC Championship? | BUY | 0.128 | $23.04 |
| 05-23 18:52 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2999999961 | $38.72 |
| 05-12 00:22 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.8k |
| 05-12 00:11 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $203.32 |