truthguy
0x768390aabd07013019a6825e9f71f1f809838082
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.125 | $4.0k | −$6.1k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.175 | $14.61 | −$19.28 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 20:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.23 |
| 07-24 11:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3184590153 | $378.43 |