KIFRIT
0x767b4c0a488cff82bd5ca005f67259f3cdd5895a
- Realised P&L
- $-85.00
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $5.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.225 | $5.26 | −$6.43 |
| Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Gamrot | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July? · No | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$173.32 |
| Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Jaguars · Chiefs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.62 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.30at 0.190Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$56.92at 0.260Will the price of Ethereum be between $1800 and $1900 on May 2?
- +$30.78at 0.720Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
- +$25.11at 0.420Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$23.85at 0.560Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-10 21:30 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $11.69 |
| 01-10 21:29 | Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 01-01 12:47 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | SELL | 0.995 | $43.44 |
| 12-28 23:14 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | BUY | 0.7699999978 | $14.05 |
| 12-28 23:13 | Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 12-28 23:12 | Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 12-28 23:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.968 | $54.04 |
| 12-26 21:10 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.4199999931 | $18.34 |
| 12-26 21:10 | Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 12-26 21:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.978 | $28.34 |
| 12-12 14:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.8249999973 | $46.06 |
| 12-06 21:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 7? | BUY | 0.6996439891 | $32.23 |
| 12-06 21:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 11:07 | Oliveira vs. Gamrot | BUY | 0.5199999809 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 11:03 | Chiefs vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.64 | $21.00 |