russellcole
0x7675760c34073f59600ff3dd1264a61a23c2a9e6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.12
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $4.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.44 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.510Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.975Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
- +$0.01at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 07-02 13:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.44 |
| 06-26 18:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.992999726 | $1.29 |
| 05-17 22:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | SELL | 0.0029090909 | $0.32 |
| 05-16 21:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.32 |
| 04-23 19:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9989999306 | $1.87 |
| 03-02 08:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.9909999108 | $2.20 |
| 02-23 05:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.04 |
| 02-20 06:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9939999967 | $1.19 |
| 02-12 08:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 02-10 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.62 |
| 01-30 07:46 | Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 07:33 | Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 07:32 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 07:20 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.0k |