perezmark
0x766f7153d13704c2921e9f9a8244413ea4da3b09
- Realised P&L
- $66.71
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $55.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.795 | $47.06 | +$5.62 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.755 | $8.33 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.10at 0.500Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?
- +$36.91at 0.380Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$22.56at 0.360Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$21.22at 0.620Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 12?
- +$5.94at 0.800Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:42 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.34 |
| 01-30 16:13 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.12 |
| 01-30 16:09 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.66 |
| 01-30 14:58 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9969999741 | $31.15 |
| 01-30 11:59 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.30 |
| 12-30 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.01 |
| 12-30 08:17 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.997999936 | $6.14 |
| 12-30 08:04 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.28 |
| 12-30 01:07 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999642 | $18.60 |
| 12-30 00:24 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.89 |
| 12-29 19:57 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999854 | $24.86 |
| 10-30 22:36 | Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.71 |
| 10-30 19:46 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.83 |
| 10-07 16:31 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.821 | $13.04 |
| 09-29 10:18 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.61 |