0x766eb42de4a4367c487570430878f8fc05927bb0
0x766eb42de4a4367c487570430878f8fc05927bb0
- Realised P&L
- $-14.88
- Volume
- $90.56
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.360 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.715 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11at 0.520US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?
- +$1.15at 0.669Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.530Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.767Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.797Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 07:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 18:25 | Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 08-09 09:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999397 | $2.29 |
| 08-09 01:59 | Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5299999792 | $2.29 |
| 08-08 16:34 | Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3499999083 | $2.29 |
| 08-08 08:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999092 | $2.29 |
| 08-08 00:33 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3299999481 | $2.29 |
| 08-07 11:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 08-07 03:32 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 08-06 19:22 | Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999867 | $2.29 |
| 08-06 11:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.6199999621 | $2.29 |
| 08-06 03:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299997331 | $2.29 |
| 08-05 19:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7199997233 | $2.29 |