lozarogumuc
0x766587f3be673008fb74940f9b646b2804072d3c
- Realised P&L
- $-433.91
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $70.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.909 | 0.135 | $67.59 | −$387.58 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.055 | $2.98 | −$19.27 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.75at 0.979No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$7.26at 0.931Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$6.22at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.92at 0.510Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.890Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 03:01 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.77 |
| 07-08 03:00 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.17 |
| 06-10 10:50 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999819 | $8.81 |
| 06-10 10:49 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.44 | $9.56 |
| 05-25 08:34 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5169581261 | $9.67 |
| 05-25 08:34 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $10.08 |
| 03-16 07:51 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $58.26 |
| 03-16 07:48 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9091846011 | $568.66 |
| 01-23 01:37 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.981 | $62.20 |
| 01-23 01:14 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.981 | $457.03 |
| 01-18 03:50 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $457.02 |
| 01-18 03:46 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $457.48 |
| 01-18 03:45 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $457.48 |
| 01-18 03:44 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $457.94 |
| 01-18 03:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $457.94 |