Cherryfgvnbgf
0x7659bd888a59d95575bb5c246363ed9b22b1febf
- Realised P&L
- $66.16
- Volume
- $23.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $104.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In · Karmine Corp | 0.670 | 0.675 | $87.75 | +$0.65 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $16.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.82 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Team Nemesis | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) · Uzbekistan | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.51 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.60 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.54at 0.500Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$319.18at 0.500Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$279.82at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$277.34at 0.500Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$129.89at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:00 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $561.43 |
| 10-13 08:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.56 |
| 10-13 08:59 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $562.00 |
| 10-13 08:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $560.88 |
| 10-13 08:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 08:55 | Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.56 |
| 10-13 08:55 | Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.998 | $138.97 |
| 10-13 08:54 | Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.998 | $416.91 |
| 10-13 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 07:32 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.996 | $163.58 |
| 10-13 07:31 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.67 | $87.10 |
| 10-13 07:30 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.996 | $490.76 |
| 10-13 07:30 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.58 |
| 10-13 07:30 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.997 | $655.00 |
| 10-13 07:29 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.995 | $641.77 |