Themagician07
0x7655a6db178757bd39b415a520b4f603dbf2358c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $107.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-38.54at 0.036Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:27 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.3583955571 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 14:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 15:34 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 20:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $270.00 |
| 08-25 13:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0238424159 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 18:26 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? | BUY | 0.020184191 | $13.00 |
| 08-22 18:23 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.076997442 | $45.00 |
| 08-22 18:20 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0226242669 | $64.46 |
| 08-22 17:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0298907465 | $63.00 |
| 08-21 21:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0044535972 | $12.00 |
| 08-21 00:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $320.00 |
| 08-19 01:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0262563672 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 01:15 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0361520388 | $103.00 |
| 08-18 20:37 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.4308516193 | $61.06 |
| 08-17 03:03 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1483988508 | $30.00 |