0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1Fa8-1773641069670
0x765550c1f0af33254a2ac826710d33a4410c1fa8
- Realised P&L
- $21.8k
- Volume
- $4.45M
- Markets traded
- 672
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded672
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.4kat 0.037Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$11.5kat 0.143Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?
- +$10.6kat 0.961Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
- +$9.2kat 0.162Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
- +$6.8kat 0.073Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.62 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2? | SELL | 0.032 | $7.97 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.019 | $22.93 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 3? | SELL | 0.026 | $21.97 |
| 11-01 22:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.018 | $8.44 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? | SELL | 0.115 | $13.80 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.045 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.017 | $4.76 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.39 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.013 | $3.38 |
| 11-01 22:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.15 |