0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1Fa8-1773641069670
0x765550c1f0af33254a2ac826710d33a4410c1fa8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $2.90M
- Markets traded
- 486
- Open portfolio
- $514.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded486
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.7kat 0.753Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
- +$9.2kat 0.162Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
- +$6.8kat 0.073Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27?
- +$6.7kat 0.178Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 26?
- +$4.9kat 0.217Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.20 |
| 08-08 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.58 |
| 08-08 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.38 |
| 08-08 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.13 |
| 08-08 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.26 |
| 08-08 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.60 |
| 08-08 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 08-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.017 | $26.64 |
| 08-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.16 |
| 08-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.58 |
| 08-08 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.09 |
| 08-08 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.011 | $27.50 |
| 08-08 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 08-08 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |