0x764Ff07D1EFD24Ba003F8E51B27C8cad518A4e99-1760537883327
0x764ff07d1efd24ba003f8e51b27c8cad518a4e99
- Realised P&L
- $18.66
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $552.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.72at 0.320Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
- +$68.00at 0.280Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$23.00at 0.770Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?
- +$22.56at 0.780Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 1?
- +$18.00at 0.800Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-02 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 09-02 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.08 |
| 09-02 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on September 2? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.26 |
| 09-02 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.1087 | $0.22 |
| 09-02 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.24 |
| 09-02 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.36 |
| 09-02 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-01 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 06-19 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 23:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 23:15 | Will Kanye tweet again by April 30? | BUY | 0.0888046132 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $9.50 |
| 04-08 23:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $4.73 |