User478
0x764424e7325f7288b60da2c2e0f290ae5cc113d7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $161.3k
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $56.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$354.10at 0.165Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$299.13at 0.324Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$161.63at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$153.12at 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$111.20at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:23 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.0508123706 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2307425782 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $14.37 |
| 07-29 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 19:54 | BNB Up or Down - July 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0709677419 | $4.40 |
| 07-07 19:53 | XRP Up or Down - July 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2536584543 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 19:53 | XRP Up or Down - July 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |