0x763a66fe8df311b47af62007624a2754a0ca4852
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $35.54
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.905 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will United Russia win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.956 | $1.04 | −$0.03 |
| Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.966 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.48at 0.110Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $9.5B and $11B at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.26at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$-0.94at 0.720Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$-1.07at 0.192Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.20at 0.681Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:49 | Will United Russia win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.07 |
| 07-30 12:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 12:15 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.960999728 | $2.94 |
| 07-30 12:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:13 | Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:13 | Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:13 | Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8899999889 | $2.40 |
| 07-30 11:13 | Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:13 | Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:13 | Laura Samson vs. Anastasiia Sobolieva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 10:46 | Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $9.5B and $11B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1049999118 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 10:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 10:24 | Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |