ploytical
0x7631b9043a6269113c8883a06ff9b099eb2a766d
- Realised P&L
- $-80.65
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $3.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.94at 0.141Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$40.53at 0.045Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$34.50at 0.080Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$21.27at 0.190Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.00at 0.200Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 11:28 | Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.0802815421 | $3.94 |
| 07-29 11:27 | Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.6255318921 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 11:26 | Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 07-29 11:26 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.44 |
| 07-23 21:42 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 00:13 | Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.2952755547 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 00:13 | Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.1843317972 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 22:51 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 22:50 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.065904551 | $13.81 |
| 07-22 22:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | SELL | 0.078 | $0.84 |
| 07-22 22:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.13 |
| 07-22 22:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.38 |
| 07-22 22:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | SELL | 0.0569601536 | $1.19 |
| 07-22 22:45 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.0612914602 | $4.21 |
| 07-22 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.48 |