0x762e9e993d2def85a80a8816de22a2f627f655cc
0x762e9e993d2def85a80a8816de22a2f627f655cc
- Realised P&L
- $57.79
- Volume
- $305.97
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.150 | $1.51 | −$0.40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.79 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.17at 0.262Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$21.88at 0.313Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$20.15at 0.332Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$6.37at 0.611Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$5.21at 0.633Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 06:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.1899999304 | $1.91 |
| 07-19 09:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999886 | $14.33 |
| 07-18 08:25 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.54 |
| 07-16 16:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.79 |
| 07-16 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.79 |
| 07-16 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.79 |
| 07-15 09:42 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3174999803 | $9.57 |
| 07-14 06:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2999999843 | $9.56 |
| 07-10 02:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5974999814 | $9.78 |
| 07-09 11:04 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999916 | $8.81 |