degatebr
0x762d891bd8414eb3543a7c31a81c81a316d52792
- Realised P&L
- $-184.48
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $78.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.108 | $60.96 | −$157.38 |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.102 | $17.29 | −$106.43 |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.89at 0.627Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$11.16at 0.875Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$9.83at 0.853Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$6.13at 0.985Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$4.72at 0.988Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 10:38 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2870734764 | $54.97 |
| 06-10 08:21 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 13:40 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 03-16 13:37 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.10 |
| 03-16 13:37 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7763070171 | $332.55 |
| 03-16 13:37 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5210540036 | $72.56 |
| 03-16 13:36 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2751456667 | $16.51 |
| 01-26 06:58 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 01-26 06:58 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8752525301 | $100.00 |
| 01-26 06:58 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 01-26 06:56 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9971919432 | $495.57 |
| 01-26 06:55 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $496.48 |
| 01-26 06:54 | Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $496.49 |
| 01-26 06:54 | Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.999 | $496.99 |
| 01-26 06:53 | Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.997 | $496.98 |