sizing
0x7629c3d8c561e1d0babf66261eee0dcd09d6226c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $141.7k
- Markets traded
- 10,990
- Open portfolio
- $136.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,990
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-07-25? · No | 0.860 | 0.765 | $35.60 | −$4.42 |
| Palermo: Noemi Basiletti vs Tyra Caterina Grant · Tyra Caterina Grant | 0.800 | 0.500 | $31.26 | −$18.76 |
| M25 Yinchuan: Semen Pankin vs Sheng Tang · Sheng Tang | 0.360 | 1.000 | $27.82 | +$17.80 |
| Spread: Athletics (-2.5) · Athletics | 0.370 | 0.780 | $21.12 | +$11.10 |
| M25 Yinchuan: Zijiang Yang vs Chan-Yeong Oh · Zijiang Yang | 0.280 | 0.240 | $8.59 | −$1.43 |
| M25 Yinchuan: Nick Beamish vs Sasikumar Mukund · Nick Beamish | 0.210 | 0.135 | $6.44 | −$3.58 |
| Kitzbuehel: Martina Colmegna vs Tatjana Maria · Tatjana Maria | 0.830 | 0.500 | $3.40 | −$2.24 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.280 | 0.070 | $2.50 | −$7.51 |
| Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5) · Seattle Sounders FC | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$10.00 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$10.00 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$10.01 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) · Thunder | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.02 |
| Inter Miami CF vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.02 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.02 |
| Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.51at 0.893Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
- +$91.20at 0.180LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
- +$87.31at 0.180FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5
- +$85.34at 0.190AC Milan vs. Manchester United: O/U 5.5
- +$70.20at 0.229Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:58 | M25 Yinchuan: Zijiang Yang vs Chan-Yeong Oh | BUY | 0.28 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 03:23 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.28 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 03:10 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 02:54 | M25 Yinchuan: Semen Pankin vs Sheng Tang | BUY | 0.36 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 02:32 | M25 Yinchuan: Nick Beamish vs Sasikumar Mukund | BUY | 0.21 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 02:24 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 02:01 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 01:52 | Spread: Athletics (-2.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 01:46 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 01:43 | Spread: New York Yankees (-6.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 01:29 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $10.02 |
| 09-24 01:20 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.34 | $9.73 |
| 09-24 00:38 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.31 | $10.02 |
| 09-23 23:50 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $10.02 |
| 09-23 23:31 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $10.02 |