Mauricedfb
0x7629a2b4321b8024fba39ac7a2a84f3ce62ac495
- Realised P&L
- $-121.99
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $15.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.650 | 0.615 | $15.99 | −$0.91 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot · Linda Fruhvirtova | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.14 |
| PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.04 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.20 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.68 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$194.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.17at 0.500Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
- +$314.10at 0.500Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$278.84at 0.500Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$229.43at 0.500Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$154.75at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:35 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $16.90 |
| 09-04 12:22 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 08-13 07:13 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.96 |
| 08-13 07:13 | PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $27.04 |
| 08-13 07:11 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 08-13 07:11 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 03:38 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.94 |
| 08-08 03:38 | UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.79 | $49.77 |
| 08-08 03:37 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-17 08:43 | Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $19.22 |
| 07-01 07:00 | Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $14.82 |
| 06-25 01:41 | Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY | 0.72 | $30.38 |
| 06-03 02:36 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 06-03 02:36 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 02:35 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $24.93 |