0x761a8da1afe9c444f9217db279c483067df7fa03
0x761a8da1afe9c444f9217db279c483067df7fa03
- Realised P&L
- $44.81
- Volume
- $584.82
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.018 | $4.49 | −$5.51 |
| Will Dominica win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$49.96 |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$15.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.62at 0.201Will AD Tarma win on 2026-09-13?
- +$19.99at 0.434Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?
- +$9.98at 0.505Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
- +$-30.78at 0.595Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:47 | Will Dominica win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6274509804 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 00:45 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5627664935 | $15.56 |
| 09-24 21:50 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0389999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:55 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 09-23 20:45 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1925770308 | $11.00 |
| 09-16 21:28 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.38 |
| 09-16 21:28 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.67 |
| 09-16 17:57 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $15.00 |