0x760b93107f394f97Cba68fa18Eeb2Dbf06e38f3D-1753721709234
0x760b93107f394f97cba68fa18eeb2dbf06e38f3d
- Realised P&L
- $-38.39
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $34.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.125 | $27.50 | −$49.70 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.017 | $6.86 | −$43.14 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Rams vs. Bears · Bears | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| US civil war before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.92 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.98at 0.465Bills vs. Jaguars
- +$44.52at 0.31049ers vs. Eagles
- +$44.43at 0.656Chargers vs. Patriots
- +$33.02at 0.430Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$24.32at 0.590Texans vs. Steelers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 13:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $58.01 |
| 01-19 00:03 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 01-18 23:58 | Texans vs. Patriots | SELL | 0.999 | $44.95 |
| 01-18 18:45 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 01-18 10:30 | Texans vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.63 | $28.35 |
| 01-18 10:29 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 01-18 02:35 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 01:46 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 01-17 10:25 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.44 |
| 01-17 10:16 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 01-15 23:38 | US civil war before 2027? | BUY | 0.088 | $8.58 |
| 01-15 18:05 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 01-15 18:03 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 01-15 13:07 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1238529293 | $50.00 |
| 01-14 15:25 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.8699999791 | $20.00 |