clausman
0x76087a83517a6c432280d3ac77025bbbf0991cd2
- Realised P&L
- $-0.03
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $540.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.252 | $462.46 | +$127.87 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.122 | $48.80 | −$61.20 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $27.50 | −$22.50 |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.044 | $1.78 | +$0.26 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:03 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $75.00 |
| 10-19 17:17 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 10-18 17:21 | Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.52 |
| 10-17 01:21 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1969050332 | $207.34 |
| 10-16 15:30 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.175 | $5.25 |
| 10-16 15:17 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.172 | $12.73 |
| 10-16 15:12 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.166 | $16.60 |
| 10-16 15:00 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.275 | $110.00 |
| 10-16 14:59 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.159 | $11.29 |
| 10-15 13:43 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1602841545 | $91.49 |