Otti36
0x75fd9df26d73c9f83a6e10c97942be7c0983e4f9
- Realised P&L
- $-604.26
- Volume
- $85.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,227
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,227
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.64at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 24?
- +$101.19at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?
- +$48.30at 0.214Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 23?
- +$41.02at 0.054Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?
- +$32.46at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.90 |
| 09-26 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 09-26 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.30 |
| 09-26 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.15 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.26 |
| 09-26 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.3599999722 | $2.59 |
| 09-26 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.08 |
| 09-26 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.279999986 | $1.60 |
| 09-26 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.55 |
| 09-26 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |