otran
0x75facc61eaee66e7718290a3bfef7d26c8dece15
- Realised P&L
- $-6.33
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.013 | $0.15 | −$8.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.40at 0.700Texans vs. Chiefs
- +$15.40at 0.600Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?
- +$9.94at 0.740Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
- +$2.52at 0.999Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
- +$0.25at 0.987Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:42 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.08 |
| 01-30 15:18 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.71 |
| 01-30 14:59 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.12 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.16 |
| 01-30 13:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9989999889 | $40.51 |
| 12-29 23:19 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.85 |
| 12-29 23:17 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9899999927 | $17.71 |
| 12-29 22:49 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.83 |
| 12-29 22:04 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.74 |
| 10-30 21:27 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.91 |
| 10-30 21:20 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $18.83 |
| 10-30 20:14 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.95 |
| 09-29 10:26 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $16.79 |
| 09-29 03:30 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.46 |
| 09-29 02:44 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.97 |