Chibi777owo
0x75f7bef9306b2ed1422c2ed93e1730dbf5957bd9
- Realised P&L
- $-582.73
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $3.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.085 | $2.98 | −$8.93 |
| Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.003 | $0.18 | −$22.62 |
| Will Mantova achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season? · Yes | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.72 |
| Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.730Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
- +$3.33at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$1.32at 0.710Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$0.94at 0.470Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$0.66at 0.440Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 13:12 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.32 |
| 05-07 12:47 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m? | SELL | 0.38 | $6.54 |
| 05-07 12:28 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m? | SELL | 0.649 | $24.47 |
| 05-06 21:02 | Clavicular sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 05-06 16:42 | Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.30 |
| 05-06 13:27 | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 05-06 12:22 | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 05-06 11:37 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 05-06 06:50 | Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 05-06 06:34 | Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 05-05 22:55 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 6? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.63 |
| 05-05 22:43 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 6? | SELL | 0.45 | $5.40 |
| 05-05 20:13 | Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 05-05 12:21 | Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |