0x75f2eae4a8634b3c90539e6e1674eb336a5a4010
0x75f2eae4a8634b3c90539e6e1674eb336a5a4010
- Realised P&L
- $14.72
- Volume
- $168.75
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $71.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.980 | $58.95 | +$9.60 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week? · No | 0.910 | 0.935 | $7.72 | +$0.21 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? · No | 0.920 | 0.910 | $2.95 | −$0.03 |
| Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.915 | $2.36 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.92at 0.821Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$2.80at 0.899Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:37 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9099999961 | $2.35 |
| 09-26 03:05 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.98 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9099999952 | $7.51 |
| 09-25 02:19 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8199999977 | $49.35 |
| 09-21 18:21 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8399999895 | $9.60 |
| 09-21 18:21 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8099999945 | $14.78 |
| 09-21 18:20 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.7899999898 | $14.78 |
| 09-21 18:20 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8099999989 | $14.83 |
| 09-20 22:43 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8899999982 | $24.74 |