0x75F23b959c69F4fE7935D69a212cDFe91651A48F-1789927473625
0x75f23b959c69f4fe7935d69a212cdfe91651a48f
- Realised P&L
- $192.98
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $540.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 21? · No | 0.968 | 1.000 | $270.80 | +$8.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.711 | $212.53 | +$208.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.090 | $43.10 | +$16.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.081 | $12.43 | +$9.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $1.48 | −$28.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.16 | −$3.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.05 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.14at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?
- +$6.26at 0.982Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 20?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 20?
- +$-5.69at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:48 | Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.9869908913 | $182.04 |
| 09-21 08:43 | Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-21 08:43 | Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.9407361963 | $76.67 |
| 09-21 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0895262588 | $6.61 |
| 09-21 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.007 | $8.61 |
| 09-21 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.68 |
| 09-21 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 09-20 19:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.97 | $145.50 |
| 09-20 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.0161577103 | $3.73 |
| 09-20 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3259158633 | $18.59 |
| 09-20 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.17 |
| 09-20 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.09 |