jacynall
0x75e99c56615ff79deac853cb498012a7dba830af
- Realised P&L
- $-23.61
- Volume
- $111.6k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $89.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $32.98 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.545 | $21.80 | +$10.60 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.665 | $13.30 | −$1.70 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No | 0.979 | 0.985 | $10.83 | +$0.06 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October? · No | 0.968 | 0.959 | $7.15 | −$0.07 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.145 | $3.63 | −$12.57 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.36 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Up | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.19at 0.107Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
- +$4.46at 0.721Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.34at 0.960Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$3.98at 0.430Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$3.78at 0.005Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:50 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 05:46 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October? | BUY | 0.968 | $7.22 |
| 10-09 05:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.979 | $10.77 |
| 10-09 05:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 06-04 17:30 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 06-04 17:28 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 05-18 17:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $110.56 |
| 05-18 17:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $110.78 |
| 05-18 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $110.00 |
| 05-18 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 14:12 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.90 |
| 04-22 14:11 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 04-22 14:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.79 |
| 04-22 14:10 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.03 |
| 04-22 14:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.11 |