ATAsg3
0x75e7238cb27d8e98e246efd252d8796220b5c99e
- Realised P&L
- $-160.36
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $41.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? · Up | 0.221 | 0.130 | $41.18 | −$28.80 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 15? · Up | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.99 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? · Down | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.51 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20? · Down | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.99 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? · Down | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22? · Down | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.22 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 18? · Up | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 20? · Up | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.54at 0.160S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?
- +$28.94at 0.147S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?
- +$9.44at 0.279S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?
- +$8.39at 0.215S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?
- +$5.47at 0.150Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 05:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | SELL | 0.31 | $10.23 |
| 05-27 18:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:21 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | SELL | 0.064 | $6.08 |
| 05-26 08:00 | Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:59 | Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 00:07 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | SELL | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 05-26 00:06 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | SELL | 0.97 | $6.46 |
| 05-26 00:06 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | SELL | 0.963 | $5.34 |
| 05-23 18:34 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 18:33 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |