Vilmarprocopio
0x75e5a1adec477458cb86ecb1ec827e3857d60059
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.865 | $864.64 | +$335.59 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.805 | $243.94 | +$43.94 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.645 | $154.80 | +$54.00 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.873 | 0.928 | $129.92 | +$7.68 |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.23at 0.015Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$130.53at 0.617Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$92.15at 0.784Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$76.66at 0.651Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$70.88at 0.390Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:09 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.874 | $34.96 |
| 08-03 21:09 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.874 | $34.96 |
| 08-03 21:09 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.872 | $52.32 |
| 08-03 21:05 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 21:05 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.9563508 | $382.54 |
| 07-15 20:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $101.33 |
| 07-15 20:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.967678 | $387.07 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.188 | $25.22 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.52 |
| 07-15 20:24 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.0975 | $3.07 |
| 07-15 20:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.121 | $15.93 |
| 07-15 12:44 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3174999999 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 12:44 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3574999895 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 12:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999861 | $10.00 |