0x75dFA8EfdA2370f7C11592f3d2022d2139a51aFF-1782761382966
0x75dfa8efda2370f7c11592f3d2022d2139a51aff
- Realised P&L
- $-45.16
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)3.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.003 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31? · No | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 6? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.37at 0.041Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31?
- +$-0.01at 0.998Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31?
- +$-0.02at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?
- +$-0.04at 0.988Will MrBeast hit 134.5 billion views by July 31?
- +$-0.05at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.008169334 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.0072599442 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 17:46 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399998947 | $1.01 |
| 07-08 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.04 |
| 07-08 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.06 |
| 07-08 16:47 | Will MrBeast hit 134.5 billion views by July 31? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.06 |
| 07-08 16:46 | Will MrBeast hit 134.5 billion views by July 31? | BUY | 0.9869999937 | $1.10 |
| 07-08 16:45 | Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $1.09 |
| 07-08 15:54 | Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.10 |
| 07-08 15:53 | Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31? | BUY | 0.0105494505 | $1.20 |
| 07-08 15:51 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.41 |
| 07-08 13:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199997925 | $2.45 |
| 07-08 13:03 | Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? | SELL | 0.0506517997 | $2.59 |
| 07-05 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.0185275322 | $1.18 |
| 07-05 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.0160657595 | $1.00 |