0x75d7D1f6aEd7cB9F4F9Dc7dBe80a768Bd40EF010-1779369608268
0x75d7d1f6aed7cb9f4f9dc7dbe80a768bd40ef010
- Realised P&L
- $-128.64
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $227.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24? · Yes | 0.899 | 0.952 | $82.60 | +$4.60 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.865 | $41.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.543 | 0.885 | $33.12 | +$12.80 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.555 | $29.68 | +$12.03 |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.610 | $20.68 | +$0.68 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.815 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.92at 0.630Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$63.34at 0.243Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
- +$14.07at 0.407Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$9.78at 0.510Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.01at 0.128Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 06:01 | Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 22:12 | Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24? | BUY | 0.8989999904 | $78.00 |
| 10-20 21:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 19:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 12:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.8599999992 | $41.00 |
| 10-17 23:32 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1102439007 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 21:50 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6499999594 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 21:44 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.46 |
| 10-15 16:08 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.3099999874 | $3.95 |
| 10-15 10:22 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6889999572 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 12:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $12.00 |
| 10-14 12:43 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $34.16 |
| 10-11 19:09 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 11:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $35.00 |
| 10-11 11:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7899999978 | $40.00 |